Romney to "win" tonight
Feb. 28th, 2012 10:41 am![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
drwexRomney should take both contests today, for all the good it will do him.
I expect Romney to win Michigan by a few points and Arizona by a lot. But it doesn't really matter. A while back I said that Santorum couldn't win but he sure could make Romney lose and that's exactly what's happening. He's managed to drag Romney into his Pit of Insanity in which putting your kids through college is bad, birth control is bad, JFK is bad, and so on. This stuff might play well to the faithful, but they are not popular views with the non-ardent/independent voters. Santorum has also made Romney flip positions on access to birth control, global warming, and who knows what else. I'm picturing the presidential debates in a few months, like this:
Obama: On $date you said your position on global warming was A. Then on $date you said it was not-A. What _do_ you believe about global warming?
Romney: err, ah, um...
Obama: On $date you said your position on birth control for women was B. Then on $date you said it was not-B. What _do_ you believe about birth control for women?
And on and on and on. Six months ago I thought Obama would have an uphill climb to get re-elected. At this point, unless the economy totally tanks or the Republicans can somehow pull out another November Surprise, it's looking like a walk-away. The fact that noise about a brokered convention, or a last-minute candidate has surfaced again just shows how badly damaged Romney is. The only way he could beat Obama is if he somehow got a Whole Personality Transplant. Obama may yet beat himself, particularly if the Republicans in Congress manage to keep tarring him with stupid crap, but Romney won't beat him.
And just for the record, where the FUCK does someone with three higher-ed degrees get off on railing against colleges? (BA, MBA, JD) And how the hell does Santorum keep painting himself as a Washington "outsider"? Do you all know what he's been doing after 12 years in Congress? Consulted for the lobby industry. Lives in a DC suburb. Makes half a million a year from beltway bandit firms. Seriously, this guy is wound so tight in crazy it's a wonder he can breathe.
I expect Romney to win Michigan by a few points and Arizona by a lot. But it doesn't really matter. A while back I said that Santorum couldn't win but he sure could make Romney lose and that's exactly what's happening. He's managed to drag Romney into his Pit of Insanity in which putting your kids through college is bad, birth control is bad, JFK is bad, and so on. This stuff might play well to the faithful, but they are not popular views with the non-ardent/independent voters. Santorum has also made Romney flip positions on access to birth control, global warming, and who knows what else. I'm picturing the presidential debates in a few months, like this:
Obama: On $date you said your position on global warming was A. Then on $date you said it was not-A. What _do_ you believe about global warming?
Romney: err, ah, um...
Obama: On $date you said your position on birth control for women was B. Then on $date you said it was not-B. What _do_ you believe about birth control for women?
And on and on and on. Six months ago I thought Obama would have an uphill climb to get re-elected. At this point, unless the economy totally tanks or the Republicans can somehow pull out another November Surprise, it's looking like a walk-away. The fact that noise about a brokered convention, or a last-minute candidate has surfaced again just shows how badly damaged Romney is. The only way he could beat Obama is if he somehow got a Whole Personality Transplant. Obama may yet beat himself, particularly if the Republicans in Congress manage to keep tarring him with stupid crap, but Romney won't beat him.
And just for the record, where the FUCK does someone with three higher-ed degrees get off on railing against colleges? (BA, MBA, JD) And how the hell does Santorum keep painting himself as a Washington "outsider"? Do you all know what he's been doing after 12 years in Congress? Consulted for the lobby industry. Lives in a DC suburb. Makes half a million a year from beltway bandit firms. Seriously, this guy is wound so tight in crazy it's a wonder he can breathe.
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Date: 2012-02-28 11:45 pm (UTC)