Political Prognostications (it's fun when I can spectate and not have a horse in the race)

I've been doing most of my politicking over on G+ in part because it started with me self-congratulation on predictions. This is a bit longer so it goes here. Everyone is treating Mitt as if he had it all locked up, which I think is premature. He's certainly odds-on favorite but I don't see any of his opponents folding their hands just yet, though most will, sooner rather than later. Here's how I see the Repub primary next-stage and maybe end-game:
( First up, South Carolina )

( Then comes Florida )

( And finally Nevada )

( After that it's like trying to predict the weather a month in advance )

Y'all can feel free to tell me I'm wrong now or come back here and say "tolja so" in the next couple weeks. This is fun sport.