All of what I'm hearing locally is Trump, not Rubio. 538's research lines up pretty well with that, too. Indeed, I can't think of a time when I've heard anyone talk about a GOP candidate other than Trump around here, with the possible exception of Rand Paul. The evangelicals are seen largely as batshit crazy, which puts Cruz right out, and Rubio gets tarred with that same brush. Trump, on the other hand seems to have captured a few ears. NH is more reliant on manufacturing than you might think, and so his message about putting foreign countries back in their place is very resonant.
Going to leave this here
Date: 2016-02-05 11:47 am (UTC)http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/new-hampshire-republican/