Date: 2017-05-17 02:42 pm (UTC)
jducoeur: (Default)
From: [personal profile] jducoeur
True -- but some polls already have an astonishing 48% pro-impeachment, to 41% against. Of course polls disagree, and that is going to vary wildly by district, but Republicans in relatively purple districts have to be getting rather nervous by now. Especially knowing for a near-certainty that the 2018 election is going to be essentially a referendum on Trump, and that the current special elections are showing a *dramatic* blue swing, with Democrats making inroads on what should be *completely* safe seats.

That's the thing: in 2016, Trump managed to make the election largely a referendum on Hilary, and he smeared her very effectively. It's not at all obvious whether he can pull that off again, especially given his tendency to draw all attention to himself and score own-goals faster than I would have considered possible.

None of which makes impeachment even remotely certain, of course. But it would only take, what, about 20 Republicans crossing the aisle to get things started? That doesn't seem insane, given how *obviously* he's betraying everything they claim to stand for...
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