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drwexNever mind Maine, this week in politics is going to get even funnier.
There's a chance that Santorum is going to beat Romney in Michigan, which ought to be a 'gimme' for Romney. I still think it's a long shot, but polls are trending Santorum's way. Unless Gingrich comes back strong the entire consertavive and anyone-but-Romney vote may swing to Santorum, which just might be enough.
Meanwhile, the biggest effect of Santorum's surge is that he's forcing Romney to the right. Romney has stupidly tried to portray himself as more conservative than he actually is. Wait, the carpetbagger has no actual morals anyway so this is just as believable as anything else he's said. Obama's strategists must be laughing their asses off about now. The nutballs in Congress aren't helping. Remember how I said that the Republican establishment considers women an important voting bloc for them? You do not want to piss off women by threatening their birth control. Last I saw something over half of women who self-describe as practicing Catholics admit to using birth control. Evangelical women are slightly lower, but still over 40%.
So Obama's either going to face someone whose either an out-and-out far-rightist or someone who is spending his time pretending to be one and is going to have a harder time veering back to the center for the general election. Yeah, this'll go well. The only thing falling faster than Grinch's support right now is how Romney is polling with self-declared independents.
I continue to think Romney is going to take seven of the Super Tuesday contests, but he may be so damaged by then as to be staring up an unclimbable hill.
There's a chance that Santorum is going to beat Romney in Michigan, which ought to be a 'gimme' for Romney. I still think it's a long shot, but polls are trending Santorum's way. Unless Gingrich comes back strong the entire consertavive and anyone-but-Romney vote may swing to Santorum, which just might be enough.
Meanwhile, the biggest effect of Santorum's surge is that he's forcing Romney to the right. Romney has stupidly tried to portray himself as more conservative than he actually is. Wait, the carpetbagger has no actual morals anyway so this is just as believable as anything else he's said. Obama's strategists must be laughing their asses off about now. The nutballs in Congress aren't helping. Remember how I said that the Republican establishment considers women an important voting bloc for them? You do not want to piss off women by threatening their birth control. Last I saw something over half of women who self-describe as practicing Catholics admit to using birth control. Evangelical women are slightly lower, but still over 40%.
So Obama's either going to face someone whose either an out-and-out far-rightist or someone who is spending his time pretending to be one and is going to have a harder time veering back to the center for the general election. Yeah, this'll go well. The only thing falling faster than Grinch's support right now is how Romney is polling with self-declared independents.
I continue to think Romney is going to take seven of the Super Tuesday contests, but he may be so damaged by then as to be staring up an unclimbable hill.
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Date: 2012-02-13 10:28 pm (UTC)no subject
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Date: 2012-02-13 11:21 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2012-02-14 04:04 am (UTC)"...i brought you a shrubbery. now aren't you sorry you asked for one?" ;>
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Date: 2012-02-14 06:41 pm (UTC)Mitt is winning enough that I think he'll survive just fine until the general election.